Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.938710 3.503174 4.116559 4.828962 5.629867 6.498774 7.508961
2026-01-04 2.311496 3.093143 4.013142 5.160620 6.537651 8.121328 10.063892
2026-01-11 1.845037 2.755830 3.909903 5.442632 7.386142 9.729781 12.728219
2026-01-18 1.415485 2.366485 3.663380 5.492011 7.930855 10.998142 15.067748
2026-01-25 1.037079 1.956381 3.309501 5.334365 8.168896 11.876058 16.959635
2026-02-01 0.768109 1.639384 3.022467 5.212203 8.416416 12.755571 18.879176
2026-02-08 0.570205 1.382780 2.773942 5.098812 8.643603 13.597677 20.769565
2026-02-15 0.431150 1.189470 2.587056 5.043939 8.932643 14.521612 22.794569
2026-02-22 0.363860 1.116829 2.588961 5.280205 9.661535 16.090244 25.761788
2026-03-01 0.283387 0.989178 2.467514 5.292217 10.035913 17.154357 28.051187
2026-03-08 0.193802 0.803069 2.196897 5.008910 9.910209 17.461646 29.256127
2026-03-15 0.134017 0.664644 1.990194 4.806975 9.888966 17.908844 30.662913
2026-03-22 0.114605 0.640087 2.028086 5.072904 10.681067 19.657433 34.083671
2026-03-29 0.102892 0.636607 2.113557 5.438629 11.665496 21.744883 38.078946
2026-04-05 0.089562 0.620980 2.167365 5.745359 12.562645 23.726490 41.972613
2026-04-12 0.068690 0.562298 2.103428 5.804889 13.022756 25.025882 44.864830
2026-04-19 0.046061 0.475109 1.944609 5.645281 13.072345 25.658409 46.745687
2026-04-26 0.030535 0.404563 1.811229 5.520591 13.171315 26.367024 48.755876
2026-05-03 0.019653 0.344391 1.689743 5.403831 13.270741 27.070824 50.767008
2026-05-10 0.012751 0.298993 1.600091 5.347480 13.478212 27.958183 53.086594
2026-05-17 0.010494 0.291612 1.635667 5.594844 14.293792 29.907330 57.151007
2026-05-24 0.006918 0.260407 1.578923 5.607743 14.640225 31.055533 59.946440
2026-05-31 0.003088 0.204776 1.409841 5.312000 14.338595 31.058670 60.873709